Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000128 0.000141 0.000155 0.000171 0.000188 0.000207 0.000230
2025-12-07 0.000106 0.000125 0.000148 0.000175 0.000209 0.000249 0.000299
2025-12-14 0.000089 0.000110 0.000137 0.000172 0.000217 0.000275 0.000353
2025-12-21 0.000075 0.000098 0.000126 0.000166 0.000219 0.000291 0.000395
2025-12-28 0.000068 0.000091 0.000122 0.000166 0.000230 0.000318 0.000453
2026-01-04 0.000062 0.000086 0.000118 0.000167 0.000240 0.000346 0.000515
2026-01-11 0.000056 0.000080 0.000113 0.000165 0.000245 0.000365 0.000565
2026-01-18 0.000052 0.000076 0.000111 0.000166 0.000254 0.000391 0.000630
2026-01-25 0.000048 0.000071 0.000106 0.000163 0.000257 0.000409 0.000682
2026-02-01 0.000045 0.000068 0.000103 0.000163 0.000264 0.000432 0.000746
2026-02-08 0.000041 0.000064 0.000099 0.000160 0.000265 0.000447 0.000797
2026-02-15 0.000038 0.000060 0.000095 0.000157 0.000266 0.000460 0.000846
2026-02-22 0.000036 0.000059 0.000095 0.000160 0.000279 0.000496 0.000946
2026-03-01 0.000035 0.000057 0.000094 0.000163 0.000292 0.000536 0.001062
2026-03-08 0.000032 0.000054 0.000090 0.000160 0.000293 0.000553 0.001132
2026-03-15 0.000030 0.000050 0.000085 0.000154 0.000289 0.000558 0.001177
2026-03-22 0.000028 0.000048 0.000084 0.000154 0.000297 0.000590 0.001287
2026-03-29 0.000027 0.000047 0.000083 0.000155 0.000306 0.000624 0.001408
2026-04-05 0.000025 0.000045 0.000080 0.000153 0.000308 0.000644 0.001498
2026-04-12 0.000024 0.000043 0.000079 0.000154 0.000317 0.000679 0.001629
2026-04-19 0.000023 0.000041 0.000077 0.000152 0.000318 0.000698 0.001724
2026-04-26 0.000022 0.000040 0.000075 0.000151 0.000324 0.000728 0.001853
2026-05-03 0.000020 0.000038 0.000073 0.000148 0.000324 0.000744 0.001946